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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Over 2.5 Goals Pick

May 04, 2026 · Tips

Liverpool and Manchester City clash in a Premier League heavyweight battle. Both teams rank in the top 3 for attacking output this season, making this a compelling over/under opportunity.

Stats & Form

Liverpool: 2.1 xG per match (season avg), 5 goals in last 3 games. ELO: 1885. Home record: 4 wins, 1 draw in last 5.

Manchester City: 2.0 xG per match, 6 goals in last 3 games. ELO: 1912. Recent form: dominant with 3 consecutive wins.

Head-to-Head: Last 5 meetings averaged 3.2 goals per match. Both teams pressed high, creating open, end-to-end football.

The Pick

Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.65 odds on 1Win. Liverpool's front three (Salah, Diaz, Gakpo) vs City's exposed defence creates goal-scoring chaos. Expected total: 3–4 goals.

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